Political Rewind: New poll shows Senate race in dead heat; Abrams lags in governor's race

The panel: 

Donna Lowry, @donnalowrynews, host, GPB-TV’s Lawmakers

Greg Bluestein, @bluestein,  political reporter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Stephen Fowler, @stphnfwlr, political reporter, GPB News

Breakdown:

1. Who was sampled in this poll?

• The poll surveyed 1,030 registered Georgians who said they were likely to vote this November.
• The poll surveyed 63% of white voters, 29 percent Black voters, and 7% of voters that identify as other. 
• The poll also surveyed 50% Republicans, 42% Democrats, and 7% independents. 

2. The Senate race appears to be in a dead heat. 

• Incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker appear to be tied in the race for the Senate. 
• Libertarian Chase Oliver has gained 4% of the vote, preventing either candidate from reaching the 50% needed to prevent a runoff. 
• This poll was largely conducted before the twin scandals of Walker allegedly paying for his ex-girlfriend's abortion and his adult son denouncing his campaign. 

3. Gov. Kemp leads Abrams by double-digit numbers in new poll. 

• Kemp has a 51% lead in this poll, but factoring in the margin of error it is possible that the race could go into a runoff. 
• On the issues majority of Georgians agree with Abrams' stances on abortion, legal gambling and constitutional carry. 

4. In down-ballot races incumbents and republicans lead. 

• GPB's Stephen Fowler explains the down-ballot dynamic. 

Read Stephen Fowler's full analysis of the poll results here.

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