Fauci Expects Surge In Vaccinations To Keep A 4th Coronavirus Wave At Bay
Cases are up in some states, but the Biden administration's chief medical adviser says that "hopefully ... the vaccine is going to win this one." He urges continued mask-wearing and other measures.
NOEL KING, HOST:
More than 56 million Americans have now been fully vaccinated against the coronavirus. That's according to the CDC. But cases are rising again in some parts of the country, notably in Michigan. Hospitalizations and deaths are rising, too. So why is that? With us now, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the Biden administration's chief medical adviser. Good to have you back with us, Dr. Fauci. Good morning.
ANTHONY FAUCI: Thank you very much. Good to be with you.
KING: I wonder if you could explain what we're seeing with cases in some parts of the country really surging.
FAUCI: Well, there are a couple of factors that are going on. As you know, some of the states and cities have pulled back a bit on the mitigation methods, namely pulling back on mask mandates and pulling back on the guidelines of crowded places and physical distancing. That together with the fact that we're having a dominant variant that is circulating throughout the country - a variant meaning a mutational change in the virus that, in this case, is giving it the capability of spreading more efficiently from person to person. So I think when you combine those two things, pulling back on some of the guidelines of public health at the same time as you have a more efficient virus spreading through the community, is leading to those increases that you just referred to.
KING: If this is a fourth wave, could it get as bad as any of the previous three?
FAUCI: You know, I really don't think that's going to happen. I mean, we've got to always keep our guard up for those things. But the factor that we have now that we didn't have then is what you just mentioned a moment ago, the number of people that have been vaccinated. We have, you know, over 50 million people who are fully vaccinated, just short of 100 million who have received at least one dose. And we are vaccinating about 3 million people per day. So in some respects, it's kind of like a race between the potential for a surge and our ability to vaccinate as many people as we possibly can. And hopefully, if you want to make this a metaphorical race, the vaccine is going to win this one, which I believe it will if we continue with the vaccine program, which has really been quite successful, at the same time as we don't prematurely declare victory and pull back too much on our mitigation policy.
KING: Michigan is averaging upwards of 5,000 new cases a day, and the governor there is asking for more vaccines. What do you think of that idea of having the federal government take vaccine from less hard-hit places and send it to hot spots? Or is that not necessary at this point?
FAUCI: Well, I'm not - I don't know if you could say it's not necessary. But what is happening is that the distribution is being put very much the responsibility at the local level, giving governors and mayors and others to move around within the state. As far as we know, the allocation per state still remains at the pro-rata level, where you do it on the basis of population. Now, that could change. But right now, we're looking at the possibility of the states themselves making a redistribution depending upon where they're seeing the surge.
KING: How do you think we're doing on the pace of vaccinations? It sounds like you are optimistic, you're positive. Could it be going any faster, though?
FAUCI: You know, you could always do things a little faster. But, for example, we're likely going to be over 30 million vaccinations this past week. That is really good. And what we're doing - and it just was announced yesterday that there's a thing called the COVID Community Corps (ph). What we're doing is to get trusted messengers in the community and giving them the necessary information to go out and get people to get up there and get vaccinated as soon as vaccine becomes available to them. So it's a rather big push. It just started yesterday. It's a public education campaign, and it's referred to as the COVID-19 Community Corps. I think that will accelerate the distribution of vaccine, so I'm pretty optimistic that that will be value added.
KING: I want to talk about something that you've just alluded to, which is that in some places there still is vaccine skepticism. You know, Donald Trump and people in his administration who downplayed the pandemic are no longer in power. Our colleague Pien Huang has been reporting on how the CDC is trying to rebuild public trust. The Biden administration certainly has been letting science speak. You are one of the most prominent voices, but it just seems like a lot of people aren't listening. I'm thinking of reporting that we did over spring break where lots of kids headed down to Florida. I'm thinking of, like you said, local officials lifting mask mandates. Why do you think that is? Why isn't the message getting through?
FAUCI: Well, I think there are several factors that are coming in here now. I think, in general, we what we're referring to as COVID-19 fatigue. This has been going on now for, you know, 14 to 15 months.
FAUCI: And people are just fatigued at that. We can't give up. And that's the reason why the messaging that I and my colleagues do all the time is that we need to hang in there just a bit longer. We are going to get through this. We are going to get this behind us for absolutely certain. The one thing we don't want to do is pull back prematurely. But you're right. I mean, it's not easy to get people who've been going through this for such a long period of time to say, I'm not going to go on a spring break, and I'm not going to take a vacation. Everybody wants to do that. But I'm telling you, I believe strongly that every day that goes by, we get closer and closer to getting an advantage. And that means the vaccines that are being distributed at over 3 million per day is going to get us to the end game where we want to be.
KING: With all of the vaccines and all of the cases, do you think we might be approaching herd immunity? I know that's a difficult question to answer. I'm just curious...
KING: ...Think about where we stand.
FAUCI: You know, it's an elusive terminology...
FAUCI: ...Because we don't know exactly, with this particular virus, what herd immunity would mean. You know, herd immunity means you get enough people who are immune, either from pre (ph) - prior infections, which would render them to be immune, or vaccine. Putting those two together, you reach a certain critical level in the community where people are protected that you really - the virus has no place to go. I mean, obviously, the more people you get vaccinated, the more people that successfully recover from COVID-19, the greater number of people you'll have to contribute to this concept of herd immunity. Since we don't know exactly what that number is, you just have to keep trying to get as many people vaccinated as you possibly can. Added to the people who have recovered from infection would also contribute to that herd immunity.
KING: And lastly, in the seconds we have left, what's your message for people who are going to get together this weekend for Easter?
FAUCI: You know, enjoy the holiday, but continue to abide by the public health measures. You know, if you're vaccinated and you're in a family setting, you can do a lot of things. You can get together without a mask and have a good time.
KING: But still be careful.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, thank you so much for joining us.
FAUCI: Good to be with you. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.