Despite last year’s unusual snow-pocalypse, Georgia residents hoping for a white winter this year should manage expectations, although a few wintry surprises remain on the table, especially for those in North Georgia.
The Farmers’ Almanac predicts winter in the Southeast will bring “average temperatures with many wet periods” but doesn’t rule out the possibility of “occasional snow events,” especially in the more northern parts of the state.
The Farmers’ Almanac uses tradition-based predictions dating back to 1818, but most contemporary meteorologists prefer to err on the side of science.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) latest seasonal outlook suggests Georgia will most likely have a warmer-than-average winter.
The prediction of “likely above normal” temperatures make significant snow events fairly unlikely for the lower two-thirds of the state. In fact, the above average warmth may even “bring early spring-like conditions.”
NOAA does indicate increased precipitation throughout the season, which could produce some winter weather. When paired with a strong cold front it could produce isolated snow or mixed precipitation events, but the mountains are likely to see the most of it.
The predictions from Accuweather also suggest temperatures will run “above historical averages and below on precipitation.”
However, meteorologist Pastelok said despite the warmth, the South could be in store for a major blast of Arctic air in January or February. This could set up conditions for “significant cold air,” increasing the chances of snow and ice.
This is also the timeframe for the polar vortex to shift south, bringing some of the coldest air of the season all across North America.
So, if you’re counting on Georgia transforming into a winter wonderland, your best bet is to cross your fingers and just wait and see.
Flurries are still possible, particularly in North Georgia, but some big snow event remains unlikely this winter.
This story comes to GPB through a reporting partnership with The Ledger-Enquirer.
